The nominations for this year’s Oscars were announced this morning, and in general I think they’re alright. No major surprises. The biggest shock being no Best Director for Christopher Nolan, and no Best Actor for Ryan Gosling, especially Michelle Williams got Best Actress for Blue Valentine.
Here are my thoughts, predictions and whom I’m rooting for. I don’t feel like I know enough to comment on the technical awards so its just the main ones, i.e. the ones more people care about.
Actor In A Leading Role
It has to be Colin Firth this time, for The King’s Speech. Jeff Bridges won last year, though he is very good in True Grit, but I don’t think he will get it second year in a row. Jesse Eisenberg was good, but he should be happy with a nominations. He still has years and years to win an Oscar.
Actor In A Supporting Role
It’s good to see Jeremy Renner nominated for The Town, but I think Christian Bale should and probably will get it for The Fighter. Otherwise Geoffrey Rush for The King’s Speech. I haven’t seen Winter’s Bone, so can’t really comment on John Hawkes, but should Mark Ruffalo really be there? Isn’t he just there because The Kids Are All Right is up for a lot of other things?
Actress In A Leading Role
I’m so happy Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole) and Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine) are there. I think Natalie Portman has a much better chance of winning for Black Swan, but I think all three would deserve the win.
Actress In A Supporting Role
Not that the poor thing would stand a chance of winning Best Actress in A Leading Role, but Hailee Steinfeld’s nomination for True Grit is truly deserved. But she won’t win this either. A nomination at such a young age is pretty good. After winning at the Globes, I’d say Melissa Leo has a pretty good chance, though if it had to go to The Fighter, I’d give it to Amy Adams. Less crazy doesn’t mean lesser acting. But of course, Helena Bonham Carter should get it.
Animated Feature Film
The Illusionist (though I haven’t seen it) and How To Train Your Dragon don’t stand a chance against Toy Story 3. Unless TS3 will win Best Picture, and voters decide to give either one of them a chance, but I don’t see that happening.
Where is Christopher Nolan?? The five who are nominated are definitely good, but I would have liked to see Nolan there. And Danny Boyle, but I’m less upset about that. Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan would be a great win, though it won’t happen. The Coen Brothers also probably won’t happen because True Grit is a remake. So, my bet is David Fincher.
Music (Original Score)
I think Daft Punk should have been on there for Tron: Legacy. I don’t remember How To Train Your Dragon having that great a score, but its not exactly the kind of film they’d put in there just because (The Kids Are All Right nominations for example). All the other four are all great, but if I had to pick Hans Zimmer for Inception. Or Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Social Network.
Music (Original Song)
I thought there would be a Burlesque song thrown in but I am so glad there isn’t. I have only heard If I Rise (127 Hours) and We Belong Together (Toy Story 3), so I have to go with Toy Story 3. Even though I don’t think I remember the song. That’s probably not the right reason to pick it, but I bet Academy members do the same sometimes.
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
I finally understand why Toy Story 3 counts as an Adapted Screenplay, and I guess it makes sense. The idea of adapted is that is it based on previous material, not literally adapted from something. And the idea is based on the previous films, so therefore not an original screenplay. But I’m glad it’s there. If not, True Grit. I think the Coen Brothers had a great screenplay, but I have no idea how it compares to the original.
Writing (Original Screenplay)
If they credit a nomination to someone else for the story, is the screenplay still technically original? I’m not so sure The Fighter should be there. I really want Inception to win, though The Fighter or The King’s Speech probably has a better chance.
Having ten Best Picture nominations isn’t quite as exciting as it was last year. Still, it means more films have a chance, though the five that you would think wouldn’t have gotten nominated if the nominations list was still limited to five, still don’t have a chance. I think those would be: The Kids Are All Right, Inception, 127 Hours, Winters Bone, and either Black Swan or Toy Story 3. But really, I want Black Swan or Toy Story 3 or Inception to win. The obvious and most likely choices areThe Social Network and The King’s Speech, both excellent films, but it’s just too obvious. After last year’s disappointment (yes I didn’t want The Hurt Locker to win), a nice surprise would be very welcome this year.